HIV Incidence Assessment Model, Based on the Incidence of Sexually Transmitted Infections in of Russia

Authors: Fishman B*, Tkachenko T, Shevnina U, Azovceva O, Yuhno M, Moskvin I, Karpov D, Fedchenko P and Rumyantsev Y

Volume 2, Issue 10

Abstract

In Russia, the HIV epidemic continues to grow. Transfer of individuals from vulnerable groups to general population has become more active. While maintaining the current rate of HIV infection and the lack of adequate systemic measures to prevent its spread, the outlook for the development of the situation remains unfavorable. For a while, the issues of HIV and STI were considered independently of each other. In reality, there is an objective relationship between the spread of HIV infection and STIs. The presence in a person of any STI on average 3-4 times or even more increases the risk of contracting HIV. Especially the risk increases with the presence of several STIs simultaneously. The existing malfunctions of the mucous membranes as a result of STI infection are open gates for the immunodeficiency virus. However, research of the possibility of predicting the number of patients with HIV infection, depending on the incidence of STIs is extremely rare. These infections are treated in various institutions, which makes it extremely difficult to develop a unified methodological approach to solving this problem. Thus, epidemiological surveillance of STIs, as well as control over sexual health, is an integral part of HIV-positive care, since the presence of certain STIs contributes to the further growth of the HIV epidemic.

Keywords: Mathematical Model; HIV infection; Sexually Transmitted Diseases

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