Epidemiology International Journal (EIJ)

ISSN: 2639-2038

Research Article

Status and Impact of COVID-19 Pandemic on Humans: Dynamics and Control

Authors: Prasad JB, Biradar AR*, and Kumar A

DOI: 10.23880/eij-16000145

Abstract

Background: The COVID-19 epidemic has spread very quickly. It only took 90 days to expand from Hubei to the rest of the world. Hence, we examined total cases based on the total tests in 211 Countries/Territories and effect of lockdown in India in terms of total cases and deaths as compared to Spain, USA, France and Italy to help policy maker and health experts to understand the epidemic of COVID-19 infectious disease in 211 Countries/Territories Materials and Methods: All COVID-19 cases in 211 countries reported from 3rd March to April 07, 2020, were extracted from the World Health Organization report and worldometer website. These data sets were analyzed by using the exponential model and descriptive statistics on EXCEL-16 software to show the descriptive and exploratory analysis worldwide. Results: In the world, around 13% Countries/Territories reported 20 plus cases per 100 test and nearly 30% Countries/ Territories in the world didn’t report the total number of tests for COVID-19. Among 30%, China is at topmost in total cases. Out of 211 Countries/Territories, 148 Countries/Territories have reported a total number of tests for COVID-19. Out of 148 Countries/Territories, there were 10,408,272 tested, and 1,355,249 (13.0%) confirmed positive cases. The higher number of positive cases per 100 tests was reported in France (48.6) and San Marino (47.6). On the other hand, Vietnam, Nepal, Bhutan, Botswana, New Caledonia and Taiwan have reported around one positive case per 100 tests. Exponential rates in total cases were higher for India, Italy, USA, Spain and France than world during 03-10 March 2020. France and Italy have shown continually declined rate till 07 April 2020. Rates in total deaths were high in Spain during 03-10 March 2020 as compared to India, Italy, USA, and France and it has shown continually declined trend till 07 April 2020. In the USA, the rate in total cases and deaths was higher during 19-27 March 2020 as compared to India, Italy, and France. Conclusion: Rates in positive cases and deaths due to COVID-19 is decreasing; it may be due to lockdown, which is not a permanent solution to eradicate it. Hence, there is need for proper inspection at the community level, especially at hot spot areas. This study also suggests that an appropriate recording system of total number of tests and death for helping policymakers and health experts.

Keywords: COVID-19; Pandemic; Rate

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